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Gardony Varosi vs Dunafoldvar Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Balazs N.
28' Event
Balazs N.
35' Event
Pauer Z.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 game between Gardony Varosi and Dunafoldvar finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gardony Varosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gardony Varosi
15%
Draws
0%
Dunafoldvar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gardony Varosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gardony Varosi come out ahead of Dunafoldvar on wins alone.
  • Gardony Varosi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gardony Varosi Clean Sheet 16%
Dunafoldvar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gardony Varosi Dunafoldvar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.1 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.37 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Gardony Varosi
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Dunafoldvar
4:2
Apr 7, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Dunafoldvar
0:6
Sep 24, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Dunafoldvar vs Gardony Varosi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gardony Varosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Pauer Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gyuris A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Dunafoldvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Balazs N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gardony Varosi 84 / 100
Dunafoldvar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gardony Varosi Dunafoldvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gardony Varosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunafoldvar let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Dunafoldvar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Gardony Varosi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Gardony Varosi VS Dunafoldvar
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gardony Varosi

(Home)
25 May
Fonix Gold
0 : 1
Gardony Varosi
18 May
Gardony Varosi
0 : 4
Pecsi MFC
11 May
Dunafoldvar
1 : 3
Gardony Varosi
04 May
Gardony Varosi
1 : 1
Bonyhad
27 Apr
Gardony Varosi
3 : 0
Szekszardi
Page 1 of 6

Dunafoldvar

(Away)
02 Aug
Dunafoldvar
1 : 8
Dombovari
25 May
Dunafoldvar
0 : 3
Szekszardi
18 May
Bonyhad
6 : 0
Dunafoldvar
11 May
Dunafoldvar
1 : 3
Gardony Varosi
04 May
MTK Budapest II
11 : 1
Dunafoldvar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 23 5 2 73:24 74
2 Ivancsa 30 21 5 4 94:26 68
3 Ferencvaros II 30 17 12 1 67:31 63
4 Kaposvar 30 18 8 4 78:33 62
5 Pecsi MFC 30 18 6 6 66:29 60
6 Siofok 30 15 10 5 56:32 55
7 Paks II 30 12 6 12 51:46 42
8 Majosi 30 11 7 12 40:45 40
9 MTK Budapest II 30 11 5 14 58:57 38
10 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 10 8 12 47:45 38
11 Bonyhad 30 10 5 15 38:55 35
12 Szekszardi 30 6 7 17 30:54 25
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 3 21 27:70 21
14 Fonix Gold 30 6 3 21 36:90 21
15 Gardony Varosi 30 5 6 19 34:71 21
16 Dunafoldvar 30 1 4 25 22:109 7
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)