Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gariunai Vilnius vs Centras Alytus

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gariunai Vilnius play Centras Alytus in the Lithuanian Cup 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gariunai Vilnius averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Centras Alytus averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Gariunai Vilnius won 1, Centras Alytus won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2010 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Gariunai Vilnius and 1.75 for Centras Alytus. This points to a Gariunai Vilnius double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Gariunai Vilnius
15%
Draws
41%
Centras Alytus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gariunai Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gariunai Vilnius picked up more points recently compared to Centras Alytus.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Gariunai Vilnius Clean Sheet 12%
Centras Alytus Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gariunai Vilnius Centras Alytus
Matches Played 12 8
Wins 5 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 Lithuanian Cup
Gariunai Vilnius vs Centras Alytus
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gariunai Vilnius 42 / 100
Centras Alytus 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gariunai Vilnius Centras Alytus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gariunai Vilnius or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gariunai Vilnius attacking → ← attacking Centras Alytus

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gariunai Vilnius scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

Centras Alytus let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gariunai Vilnius went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Centras Alytus lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 12
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63