Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gariunai Vilnius vs Tera Vilnius

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gariunai Vilnius in this Lithuanian Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gariunai Vilnius
15%
Draws
28%
Tera Vilnius
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gariunai Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gariunai Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Tera Vilnius.
  • Model gives Gariunai Vilnius a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Gariunai Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gariunai Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gariunai Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Tera Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gariunai Vilnius Tera Vilnius
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 5 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.67 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2015 Lithuanian Cup
Gariunai Vilnius vs Tera Vilnius
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gariunai Vilnius 85 / 100
Tera Vilnius 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gariunai Vilnius Tera Vilnius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gariunai Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tera Vilnius's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gariunai Vilnius scored in 75% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tera Vilnius lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gariunai Vilnius VS Tera Vilnius
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gariunai Vilnius

(Home)
03 Sept
Druskininkai
3 : 0
Gariunai Vilnius
30 Jul
Gariunai Vilnius
2 : 0
Tera Vilnius
09 Sept
Gariunai Vilnius
1 : 2
Silute
08 Aug
Gariunai Vilnius
0 : 1
Granitas Klaipeda
08 Jun
Adiada Siauliai
0 : 5
Gariunai Vilnius
Page 1 of 3

Tera Vilnius

(Away)
17 Jun
Hiiumaa
0 : 1
Tera Vilnius
14 Jun
Tera Vilnius
0 : 5
Cilicia
21 Jun
Tera Vilnius
2 : 4
FK Atmosfera
25 May
Tera Vilnius
0 : 2
Banga
25 May
Elektrenu Versme
3 : 1
Tera Vilnius
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Zalgiris -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Druskininkai -
TBD -
Kupiskis 1
Vidzgiris Alytus 5
Tera Vilnius 2
Baltoji Voke 1
TBD -
Gariunai Vilnius -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
Pramogos Gargzdu 2
Vulkanas Jurbarkas 1
Sakuona Plikiai 2
Eurostandartas 3
Statyba-Sendvaris 3
Gelezinis Vilkas 1
Ateitis Vilnius 0
Olimpija Vilnius 1
Koralas Klaipeda 2
Viltis Vilnius 0
TBD -
Dainava Alytus -
FK Cementininkas -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Visaginas -
FBK Kaunas -
TBD -
Anyksciai 0
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 1
Adiada Siauliai 3
Euforija Vilnius 2
TAIP Vilnius 0
Svyturys Marijampole 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Utenis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kedainiai 2
Elektrenu Versme 1
TBD -
Bekentas Vilnius -
Sportidus Panevezys 2
TEC Vilnius 1
TBD -
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis -
FK Panevezys -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Krazante Kelme -
SFK Rotalis -
TBD -
TBD -
Silute -
FK Sveikata Kybartai -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Sirvena Birzai -
FK Atmosfera -
TBD -
Sarema Klaipeda 0
Prelegentai Vilnius 2
Tauras Taurage -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MRU TiuMenas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Stumbras -
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlantas -
Jonava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marijampole City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Granitas Klaipeda -
Dziugas Telsiai -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventa Siauliai -
Saulininkas Siauliai 5
Granitas Vilnius 3
TBD -
Auska Alytus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nevezis Kedainiai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suduva -
1/64-finals
Zalgiris -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Druskininkai 2
Vidzgiris Alytus 0
Tera Vilnius 0
Gariunai Vilnius 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
Pramogos Gargzdu 2
Eurostandartas 1
Statyba-Sendvaris 0
Olimpija Vilnius 2
Koralas Klaipeda 7
Dainava Alytus 0
FK Cementininkas 2
FK Visaginas 3
FBK Kaunas 2
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 1
Adiada Siauliai 1
Svyturys Marijampole 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Utenis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kedainiai 3
Bekentas Vilnius 2
Sportidus Panevezys 1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 7
FK Panevezys 5
FK Krazante Kelme 0
SFK Rotalis 0
Silute 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 2
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
FK Atmosfera 2
Prelegentai Vilnius 4
Tauras Taurage -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MRU TiuMenas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Stumbras -
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlantas -
Jonava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marijampole City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Granitas Klaipeda -
Dziugas Telsiai 6
Juventa Siauliai 2
Saulininkas Siauliai 1
Auska Alytus 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nevezis Kedainiai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suduva -
1/32-finals
Zalgiris -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Druskininkai 3
Gariunai Vilnius 0
TBD -
Banga -
Pramogos Gargzdu 3
Olimpija Vilnius 2
Koralas Klaipeda 0
FK Visaginas 2
FBK Kaunas 2
Svyturys Marijampole 0
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Utenis -
TBD -
FK Kedainiai 1
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 6
FK Panevezys 3
Silute 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 3
Prelegentai Vilnius 5
Tauras Taurage -
TBD -
TBD -
MRU TiuMenas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Stumbras -
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlantas -
Jonava -
TBD -
TBD -
Marijampole City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Granitas Klaipeda -
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Auska Alytus 1
TBD -
Nevezis Kedainiai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Suduva -
1/16-finals
Zalgiris -
TBD -
Druskininkai 0
Banga 3
Pramogos Gargzdu 3
FK Visaginas 1
FBK Kaunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Utenis 3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 2
FK Panevezys 1
Prelegentai Vilnius 3
Tauras Taurage 5
MRU TiuMenas 4
TBD -
FC Stumbras -
Riteriai -
TBD -
TBD -
Kruoja -
Siauliai -
TBD -
TBD -
Atlantas -
Jonava 4
Marijampole City 0
TBD -
Granitas Klaipeda -
Dziugas Telsiai 7
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
TBD -
Suduva -
1/8-finals
Zalgiris 4
Banga 1
Pramogos Gargzdu 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Utenis 8
Prelegentai Vilnius 0
Tauras Taurage 2
FC Stumbras 12
Riteriai 3
Kruoja 0
Siauliai 0
Atlantas 4
Jonava 2
Granitas Klaipeda 1
Dziugas Telsiai 0
Suduva 2
Quarter-finals
Zalgiris 12
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Utenis 3
FC Stumbras 5
Riteriai 4
Atlantas 1
Jonava 0
Suduva 6
Semi-finals
Zalgiris 3
FC Stumbras 1
Riteriai 3
Suduva 0
Final
Zalgiris 1
Riteriai 0