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Garliava vs BE1 NFA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Odincovas L.
10' Event
Odincovas L.
24' Event
Gudaitis T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Garliava
15%
Draws
71%
BE1 NFA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • BE1 NFA have won more games recently than Garliava.
  • BE1 NFA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Garliava Clean Sheet 14%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Garliava BE1 NFA
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Garliava
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs BE1 NFA
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs BE1 NFA
2:2
May 11, 2024 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Garliava
2:1
Aug 12, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs BE1 NFA
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Odincovas L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

BE1 NFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudaitis T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michael Thuique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Garliava 10 / 100
BE1 NFA 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Garliava BE1 NFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 NFA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Garliava scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

BE1 NFA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Garliava stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Garliava VS BE1 NFA
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Garliava

(Home)
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

BE1 NFA

(Away)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
14 Sept
Siauliai 2
0 : 2
BE1 NFA
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
Ekranas
0 : 5
BE1 NFA
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)