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Gasogi United vs Gicumbi

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Gasogi United and Gicumbi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gasogi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gasogi United
17%
Draws
13%
Gicumbi
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gasogi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gicumbi come out ahead of Gasogi United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gasogi United's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 68%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gasogi United Gicumbi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gicumbi
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Gasogi United
2:1
May 15, 2022 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Gasogi United
0:0
Jan 17, 2022 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Gicumbi
4:1
May 2, 2020 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Gasogi United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gasogi United 77 / 100
Gicumbi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gasogi United Gicumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gicumbi let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Gicumbi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gasogi United scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gasogi United VS Gicumbi
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gasogi United

(Home)
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1
Gicumbi
Page 1 of 7

Gicumbi

(Away)
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1
Gicumbi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)