Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Pickles O.
37'
37'
Sub
Newton T. In: Fenton J.
Out: Newton T.
37'
37'
Sub
Richardson K. In: Williams B.
Out: Richardson K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Leeds U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gateshead come out ahead of Leeds U21 on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Leeds U21 taking it.
- Gateshead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leeds U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 20%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gateshead | Leeds U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 26, 2025 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Leeds U21
0:3
Nov 6, 2024 National League Cup
Gateshead vs Leeds U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gateshead Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Leeds U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Pickles O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Render J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gateshead 16 / 100
Leeds U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gateshead Leeds U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leeds U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Gateshead's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Leeds U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gateshead VS Leeds U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gateshead
(Home) 08 Aug
Eastleigh
2 : 1 Gateshead
05 Aug
Consett
6 : 1 Gateshead
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1 Gateshead
28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4 South Shields
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 7
28 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 4 South Shields
25 Jul
Gateshead
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
18 Apr
Gateshead
0 : 3 Woking
06 Apr
Gateshead
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
28 Mar
Gateshead
2 : 1 Yeovil
Page 1 of 3
Leeds U21
(Away) 13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2 Manchester United U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
16 Mar
Leeds U21
1 : 0 Tottenham U21
09 Mar
Sunderland U21
5 : 2 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
09 Mar
Sunderland U21
5 : 2 Leeds U21
20 Feb
Chelsea U21
2 : 2 Leeds U21
07 Feb
Manchester City U21
3 : 0 Leeds U21
25 Jan
Liverpool U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
