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Gateway United vs Crown FC

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
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AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Gateway United and Crown FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gateway United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gateway United
28%
Draws
22%
Crown FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gateway United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crown FC come out ahead of Gateway United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gateway United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gateway United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gateway United Clean Sheet 68%
Crown FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gateway United Crown FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NNL
Crown FC vs Gateway United
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 NNL
Gateway United vs Crown FC
2:1
Apr 28, 2024 NNL
Gateway United vs Crown FC
1:0
Dec 2, 2023 NNL
Crown FC vs Gateway United
2:0
Jun 14, 2023 NNL
Gateway United vs Crown FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gateway United 59 / 100
Crown FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gateway United Crown FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gateway United scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Crown FC conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Crown FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gateway United VS Crown FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gateway United

(Home)
11 Apr
Inter Lagos
1 : 2
Gateway United
04 Apr
Gateway United
1 : 2
Sunshine Stars
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0
Gateway United
14 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Gateway United
07 Mar
Gateway United
1 : 2
Beyond Limits FC
Page 1 of 6

Crown FC

(Away)
01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1
Crown FC
11 Apr
Heartland FC
1 : 0
Crown FC
28 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Crown FC
25 Mar
Crown FC
2 : 2
Beyond Limits FC
14 Mar
Smart City
3 : 1
Crown FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Lagos1685326:1329
2Beyond Limits FC1677223:1328
3Heartland FC1683521:1727
4Smart City1683521:1927
5Sunshine Stars1674518:1425
6Edel FC1662814:2020
7Crown FC1644818:1916
8Abia Comets1643916:3115
9Gateway United16331013:2412
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Lagos18113431:1436
2Akwa United18112523:1335
3Ekiti United18100821:1730
4Stormers1882824:2626
5Abakaliki1874719:1725
6Solution1881918:2225
7Godswill Akpabio1866627:2424
8Rovers FC18711015:2122
9Osun United18621016:2420
10First Bank18431115:3115
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doma United1482418:1126
2Lobi1472512:1023
3Basira1463517:1421
4Kada Warriors1455411:920
5Sokoto United145369:1118
6ABS1452710:1617
7Mighty Jets1451814:1616
8City FC Abuja1444610:1416
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ranchers Bees1262411:920
2Adamawa Utd1260612:1118
3Jigawa Golden Stars1253412:1518
4Yobe Stars1252514:1317
5Kebbi1251611:1116
6Bichi First1243511:915
7Gombe124358:1115
8Sporting Supreme00000:00
Promotion - NPFL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)