Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gauss Bacau vs Univ. Craiova

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2015/2016
Wed, Sep 23, 2015
2 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pavel A.
43' Event
Mazarache S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Gauss Bacau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gauss Bacau
39%
Draws
30%
Univ. Craiova
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gauss Bacau haven't matched Univ. Craiova's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Univ. Craiova arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gauss Bacau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gauss Bacau Clean Sheet 21%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gauss Bacau Univ. Craiova
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2015 Romanian Cup
Gauss Bacau vs Univ. Craiova
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gauss Bacau Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Univ. Craiova Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazarache S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gauss Bacau 32 / 100
Univ. Craiova 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gauss Bacau Univ. Craiova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gauss Bacau found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gauss Bacau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Univ. Craiova conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Univ. Craiova
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gauss Bacau

(Home)
04 Oct
Metalosport Galati
1 : 0
Gauss Bacau
28 May
Gauss Bacau
1 : 1
Rapid Bucuresti
21 May
Braila
2 : 0
Gauss Bacau
18 May
LPS HD Clinceni
1 : 5
Gauss Bacau
14 May
Gauss Bacau
1 : 1
Calarasi
Page 1 of 6

Univ. Craiova

(Away)
18 Jul
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
FC UTA Arad
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
12 Jul
Univ. Craiova
2 : 1
Universitatea Cluj
08 Jul
ML Vitebsk
1 : 4
Univ. Craiova
29 Jun
Univ. Craiova
4 : 3
Polissya Zhytomyr
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Targu Mures-
TBD-
Dorohoi0
Bucovina Pojorata3
Univ. Craiova-
TBD-
Atletico Vaslui0
Gauss Bacau1
Petrolul-
TBD-
FC Buzau0
Tarlungeni5
Ramnicu Valcea2
Gaz Metan Medias1
TBD-
Poli Timisoara-
Poli Iasi-
TBD-
Rapid Bucuresti0
Berceni1
Targu Mures II4
Metalurgistul Cugir3
TBD-
Concordia-
Viitorul Constanta 25
Dobrogea Tulcea2
Afumati2
LPS HD Clinceni3
Balotesti1
Metaloglobus Bucharest0
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
Dinamo Bucuresti-
TBD-
Otelul1
Braila3
FC UTA Arad9
Sportul Snagov0
TBD-
Pandurii-
FC Brasov3
Paulesti2
Ceahlaul1
Foresta Suceava3
Unirea Branceni3
CS U Craiova 21
TBD-
FC Astra-
Viitorul Constanta-
TBD-
Ineu0
Ripensia Timisoara2
Mioveni3
Flacara Moreni1
TBD-
FC Botosani-
Baia Mare1
Olimpia Satu Mare0
TBD-
Voluntari-
Universitatea Cluj3
Osorhei1
TBD-
FCSB-
1/16-finals
Targu Mures4
Bucovina Pojorata1
Univ. Craiova1
Gauss Bacau2
Petrolul6
Tarlungeni0
Ramnicu Valcea0
Poli Timisoara2
Poli Iasi2
Berceni1
Targu Mures II0
Concordia4
Viitorul Constanta 22
LPS HD Clinceni1
Balotesti0
CFR Cluj1
Dinamo Bucuresti3
Braila2
FC UTA Arad1
Pandurii2
FC Brasov2
Foresta Suceava0
Unirea Branceni0
FC Astra5
Viitorul Constanta2
Ripensia Timisoara0
Mioveni1
FC Botosani2
Baia Mare1
Voluntari0
Universitatea Cluj0
FCSB1
1/8-finals
Targu Mures1
Gauss Bacau0
Petrolul1
Poli Timisoara2
Poli Iasi2
Concordia1
Viitorul Constanta 20
CFR Cluj1
Dinamo Bucuresti3
Pandurii2
FC Brasov3
FC Astra4
Viitorul Constanta1
FC Botosani0
Baia Mare1
FCSB2
Quarter-finals
Targu Mures2
Poli Timisoara1
Poli Iasi1
CFR Cluj2
Dinamo Bucuresti2
FC Astra1
Viitorul Constanta0
FCSB1
Semi-finals
Targu Mures0
CFR Cluj2
Dinamo Bucuresti2
FCSB2
Final
CFR Cluj3
Dinamo Bucuresti2