Sport Picks

Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024

Sao Sebastiao U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gaviao Izidorense U20 play Sao Sebastiao U20 in the Alagoano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gaviao Izidorense U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Sao Sebastiao U20 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Gaviao Izidorense U20 won 0, Sao Sebastiao U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 15, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.58 for Gaviao Izidorense U20 and 1.17 for Sao Sebastiao U20. This points to a Gaviao Izidorense U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Gaviao Izidorense U20

15%

Draws

32%

Sao Sebastiao U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaviao Izidorense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Gaviao Izidorense U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sao Sebastiao U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.58 vs 1.17 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 15%

Gaviao Izidorense U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Sao Sebastiao U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gaviao Izidorense U20	Sao Sebastiao U20
Matches Played	6	6
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	0
Losses	3	5
Goals Scored	1	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.67	2.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.67	2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Alagoano U20

Gaviao Izidorense U20 vs Sao Sebastiao U20

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaviao Izidorense U20 52 / 100

Sao Sebastiao U20 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gaviao Izidorense U20 Sao Sebastiao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaviao Izidorense U20 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Gaviao Izidorense U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gaviao Izidorense U20 attacking → ← attacking Sao Sebastiao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaviao Izidorense U20 scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Sao Sebastiao U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gaviao Izidorense U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao Sebastiao U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 3

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.67

1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.17

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA U20	6	6	0	0	16:2	18
2	Guarani de Paripueira U20	6	4	0	2	20:11	12
3	Desportiva Alianca U20	6	4	0	2	14:7	12
4	Grota do Facao U20	6	4	0	2	12:5	12
5	Rio Largo U20	6	1	1	4	8:7	4
6	Ubertec U20	6	1	1	4	7:20	4
7	Satuba U20	6	0	0	6	3:28	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CRB U20	6	6	0	0	32:3	18
2	Coruripe U20	6	4	1	1	16:4	13
3	Guarany Alagoano U20	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
4	Sao Domingos U20	6	2	1	3	7:16	7
5	UNEC U20	6	2	1	3	8:19	7
6	Santa Cruz AL U20	6	1	0	5	6:12	3
7	Ponte Preta AL U20	6	0	2	4	1:16	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zumbi U20	4	3	1	0	17:0	10
2	Azzurra U20	4	3	1	0	13:2	10
3	Independente Atalaia U20	4	2	0	2	5:11	6
4	Murici U20	4	1	0	3	6:15	3
5	DZM Passo U20	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Lajense U20	4	0	0	4	3:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Liga do Sertao U20	6	4	1	1	11:4	13
2	SC Penedense U20	6	3	3	0	9:5	12
3	Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20	6	2	4	0	8:5	10
4	ASA U20	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
5	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
6	Dimensao Capela U20	6	1	1	4	3:6	4
7	CAP Paulo Jacinto U20	6	0	1	5	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jacioba U20	6	5	1	0	17:5	16
2	Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U20	6	5	0	1	17:5	15
3	Canoense U20	6	3	1	2	6:8	10
4	Gaviao Izidorense U20	6	2	1	3	6:10	7
5	Flamengo do Ipiranga U20	6	2	0	4	9:14	6
6	Talisma U20	6	1	1	4	9:13	4
7	Sao Sebastiao U20	6	1	0	5	4:13	3