Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Gavilanes de Matamoros

0 - 1

Halcones de Zapopan

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Munoz A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Halcones de Zapopan in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Halcones de Zapopan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Gavilanes de Matamoros

33%

Draws

27%

Halcones de Zapopan

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gavilanes de Matamoros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Halcones de Zapopan average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Gavilanes de Matamoros's 1.25.
Gavilanes de Matamoros are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Halcones de Zapopan here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 68%

Halcones de Zapopan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gavilanes de Matamoros	Halcones de Zapopan
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	13
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Halcones de Zapopan

0:1

Oct 24, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Halcones de Zapopan vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

4:3

Mar 14, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Halcones de Zapopan vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

1:0

Nov 3, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Halcones de Zapopan

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Halcones de Zapopan Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gavilanes de Matamoros 50 / 100

Halcones de Zapopan 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gavilanes de Matamoros Halcones de Zapopan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gavilanes de Matamoros's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Gavilanes de Matamoros went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Halcones de Zapopan let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gavilanes de Matamoros VS Halcones de Zapopan

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gavilanes de Matamoros

(Home)

12 Apr

Gavilanes de Matamoros

1 : 0

Zacatepec

04 Apr

Calor De San Pedro

2 : 0

Gavilanes de Matamoros

28 Mar

Cordobes FC

1 : 3

Gavilanes de Matamoros

21 Mar

CS Canamy

1 : 3

Gavilanes de Matamoros

15 Mar

Gavilanes de Matamoros

0 : 1

Halcones de Zapopan

Page 1 of 6

Halcones de Zapopan

(Away)

03 May

Alacranes de Durango

2 : 1

Halcones de Zapopan

29 Apr

Halcones de Zapopan

0 : 0

Alacranes de Durango

25 Apr

Racing de Veracruz

0 : 2

Halcones de Zapopan

22 Apr

Halcones de Zapopan

0 : 0

Racing de Veracruz

19 Apr

Tigres de Alica

2 : 1

Halcones de Zapopan

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17

Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)