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Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ruan
53'
Bacuna J.
58'
Aliti F.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Gaziantep and Alanyaspor finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gaziantep
20%
Draws
47%
Alanyaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alanyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gaziantep come out ahead of Alanyaspor on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 20%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaziantep Alanyaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Gaziantep
0:0
Jul 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor
0:0
May 9, 2025 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Alanyaspor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gaziantep Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorescu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaziantep 32 / 100
Alanyaspor 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaziantep Alanyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaziantep found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Alanyaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Gaziantep remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gaziantep VS Alanyaspor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaziantep

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Gaziantep
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Alanyaspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2
Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0
Besiktas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)