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Gaziantep vs Basaksehir

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Super Lig 2025/2026 Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Selke D.
Assist: Fayzullaev A.
22' Event
Shomurodov E.
(Penalty)
26'
Sub
Selke D. In: Da Costa N.
Out: Selke D.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between Gaziantep and Basaksehir finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basaksehir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gaziantep
20%
Draws
29%
Basaksehir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaziantep

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basaksehir come out ahead of Gaziantep on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Basaksehir have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 20%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaziantep Basaksehir
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
1:2
Dec 22, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Gaziantep
5:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Gaziantep
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
3:0
Feb 24, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gaziantep Compare

Top Goalscorer Lungoyi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Basaksehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Selke D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaziantep 31 / 100
Basaksehir 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaziantep Basaksehir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaziantep Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Gaziantep scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Basaksehir let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Gaziantep went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaziantep VS Basaksehir
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaziantep

(Home)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Gaziantep
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Basaksehir

(Away)
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Basaksehir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 34 24 5 5 77:30 77
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 11 2 77:37 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 20 9 5 61:39 69
4 Besiktas 34 17 9 8 59:40 60
5 Basaksehir 34 16 9 9 58:35 57
6 Goztepe 34 14 13 7 42:32 55
7 Samsunspor 34 13 12 9 46:45 51
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 46:52 41
9 Konyaspor 34 10 10 14 43:50 40
10 Kocaelispor 34 9 10 15 26:38 37
11 Alanyaspor 34 7 16 11 41:41 37
12 Gaziantep 34 9 10 15 43:58 37
13 Kasimpasa 34 8 11 15 33:49 35
14 Genclerbirligi 34 9 7 18 36:47 34
15 Eyupspor 34 8 9 17 33:48 33
16 Antalyaspor 34 8 8 18 33:55 32
17 Kayserispor 34 6 12 16 27:62 30
18 F. Karagumruk 34 8 6 20 31:54 30
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)