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Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaziantep host Kasimpasa in the Super Lig. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kasimpasa have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Gaziantep have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.28. Head-to-head, Gaziantep have won 3 to Kasimpasa's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.56) point toward Kasimpasa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gaziantep
20%
Draws
57%
Kasimpasa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaziantep haven't matched Kasimpasa's recent run of results.
  • Kasimpasa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 15%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaziantep Kasimpasa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Gaziantep
2:3
May 24, 2025 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Gaziantep
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Kasimpasa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaziantep 15 / 100
Kasimpasa 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaziantep Kasimpasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasimpasa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Gaziantep scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Kasimpasa let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Gaziantep stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaziantep VS Kasimpasa
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaziantep

(Home)
18 Oct
Basaksehir
2 : 1
Gaziantep
11 Oct
Gaziantep
0 : 3
Corum FK
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
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Kasimpasa

(Away)
18 Oct
Kasimpasa
4 : 1
Samsunspor
09 Oct
Galatasaray
3 : 1
Kasimpasa
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Kasimpasa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 17:11 19
2 Amedspor 8 5 2 1 18:9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
4 Trabzonspor 8 5 1 2 18:5 16
5 Besiktas 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Kasimpasa 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Kocaelispor 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
9 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 8:9 12
10 Basaksehir 8 3 2 3 12:12 11
11 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
12 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
13 Goztepe 8 2 3 3 17:16 9
14 Gaziantep 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
15 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 4:9 5
17 Samsunspor 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)