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Gazte Berriak vs Subiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Cueva O.
33' Event
Pena Aguilar D. F.
45' Event
Aizpun B.

AI Match Summary

Gazte Berriak in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gazte Berriak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gazte Berriak
25%
Draws
35%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Gazte Berriak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Subiza have won more games recently than Gazte Berriak.
  • Gazte Berriak are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gazte Berriak Clean Sheet 68%
Subiza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gazte Berriak Subiza
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Gazte Berriak vs Subiza
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gazte Berriak Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena Aguilar D. F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aizpun B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Subiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Cueva O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Conde Jimenez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gazte Berriak 95 / 100
Subiza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gazte Berriak Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gazte Berriak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Subiza has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Subiza registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gazte Berriak's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gazte Berriak VS Subiza
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gazte Berriak

(Home)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza

Subiza

(Away)
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
15 Aug
Real Sociedad C
3 : 0
Subiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Ezcabarte 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
3 Aoiz 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Mutilvera 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Beti Kozkor 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Doneztebe FT 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
7 Subiza 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 AD San Juan 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
9 Gazte Berriak 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Cortes 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
11 CD Cantolagua 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
12 CD Beti Onak 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 Huarte 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Pamplona 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Bidezarra 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Valle Egues 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
17 Cirbonero 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
18 Txantrea 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)