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GD Alcochetense vs Imortal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Valdumar
(Penalty)
41' Event
Marocas
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
GD Alcochetense
30%
Draws
27%
Imortal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Alcochetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Alcochetense lately — more wins on the board than Imortal.
  • GD Alcochetense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 68%
Imortal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Alcochetense Imortal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.64 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Alcochetense vs Imortal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Alcochetense 68 / 100
Imortal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Alcochetense Imortal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Alcochetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Alcochetense's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Imortal let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: GD Alcochetense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

GD Alcochetense VS Imortal
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Alcochetense

(Home)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
GD Alcochetense
8 : 0
Fayal
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
Page 1 of 6

Imortal

(Away)
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)