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GD Alcochetense vs Industria

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
GD Alcochetense Logo

GD Alcochetense

2 - 1
FT
Industria Logo

Industria

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Joca
51' Event
Santos R.
82' Event
Joca
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

GD Alcochetense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Alcochetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
GD Alcochetense
35%
Draws
13%
Industria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Alcochetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Industria haven't matched GD Alcochetense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives GD Alcochetense a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 68%
Industria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Alcochetense Industria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.57 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Alcochetense vs Industria
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs GD Alcochetense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Alcochetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Joca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Alcochetense 95 / 100
Industria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Alcochetense Industria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Alcochetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GD Alcochetense scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Industria let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: GD Alcochetense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

GD Alcochetense VS Industria
1.25 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Alcochetense

(Home)
20 Sept
GD Alcochetense
2 : 0
C.F. Benfica
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
GD Alcochetense
8 : 0
Fayal
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
Page 1 of 6

Industria

(Away)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)