Sport Picks
GD Alcochetense vs Serpa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 
AI Match Summary
GD Alcochetense host Serpa in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. GD Alcochetense have averaged 1.66 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Serpa's 1.23 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, GD Alcochetense have won 1 to Serpa's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring GD Alcochetense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Serpa have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — GD Alcochetense are scoring more at 1.66.
- Model gives GD Alcochetense a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GD Alcochetense | Serpa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
GD Alcochetense scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
GD Alcochetense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Serpa conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
GD Alcochetense
(Home)Serpa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sintrense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Imortal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Amora | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Serpa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Real SC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Juv. Evora | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 8 | GD Alcochetense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Vitoria Setubal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 10 | Portel | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Lajense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 12 | 1º Dezembro | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 13 | Aljustrelense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 14 | Santa Clara B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
