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GD Coruchense vs SB Castelo Branco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GD Coruchense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Coruchense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
GD Coruchense
15%
Draws
51%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • SB Castelo Branco have won more games recently than GD Coruchense.
  • Model gives GD Coruchense a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Coruchense SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 10 23
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Coruchense vs SB Castelo Branco
2:0
Oct 9, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs GD Coruchense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Coruchense 59 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Coruchense SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Coruchense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Coruchense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

SB Castelo Branco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 43 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: SB Castelo Branco registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Coruchense

(Home)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
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SB Castelo Branco

(Away)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)