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GD Coruchense vs Sertanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
GD Coruchense Logo

GD Coruchense

2 - 2
FT
Sertanense Logo

Sertanense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
GD Coruchense
30%
Draws
23%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Coruchense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Coruchense lately — more wins on the board than Sertanense.
  • Model gives GD Coruchense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 68%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Coruchense Sertanense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Coruchense vs Sertanense
2:2
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs GD Coruchense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Coruchense 77 / 100
Sertanense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Coruchense Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Coruchense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

GD Coruchense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sertanense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sertanense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Coruchense

(Home)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
Page 1 of 6

Sertanense

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)