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GD Joane vs Os Sandinenses

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GD Joane play Os Sandinenses in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, GD Joane averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Os Sandinenses averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, GD Joane won 1, Os Sandinenses won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for GD Joane and 1.38 for Os Sandinenses. This points to a GD Joane double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
GD Joane
24%
Draws
36%
Os Sandinenses
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: GD Joane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Joane picked up more points recently compared to Os Sandinenses.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 17%
Os Sandinenses Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Joane Os Sandinenses
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Os Sandinenses vs GD Joane
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Os Sandinenses
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Joane Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Os Sandinenses Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Joane 39 / 100
Os Sandinenses 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Joane Os Sandinenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GD Joane or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GD Joane attacking → ← attacking Os Sandinenses

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Joane scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Os Sandinenses let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

GD Joane went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Os Sandinenses lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 31
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria Guimaraes B26175445:2156
2Paredes26164651:2152
3GD Braganca26128637:2844
4Rebordosa26126839:2542
5Brito261241041:4040
6SC Vianense261131231:3736
7Tirsense261051139:3535
8SC Vila Real261051130:3235
9AD Limianos26810837:3634
10GD Joane26771226:3828
11Pevidem26771223:3428
12Os Sandinenses26771230:4128
13Dumiense26661425:5223
14Atletico Arcos26651524:3823