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GD Joane vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GD Joane play Vitoria Guimaraes B in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, GD Joane averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Vitoria Guimaraes B averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, GD Joane won 1, Vitoria Guimaraes B won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for GD Joane and 1.11 for Vitoria Guimaraes B. This points to a Vitoria Guimaraes B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
GD Joane
18%
Draws
53%
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • GD Joane picked up more points recently compared to Vitoria Guimaraes B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
GD Joane Clean Sheet 21%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Joane Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.55 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs GD Joane
3:2
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Joane vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:1
Dec 1, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Joane vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
3:1
Sep 8, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs GD Joane
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GD Joane Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Joane 30 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes B 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Joane Vitoria Guimaraes B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes B & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GD Joane attacking → ← attacking Vitoria Guimaraes B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Joane scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

GD Joane went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Guimaraes B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 51
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria Guimaraes B26175445:2156
2Paredes26164651:2152
3GD Braganca26128637:2844
4Rebordosa26126839:2542
5Brito261241041:4040
6SC Vianense261131231:3736
7Tirsense261051139:3535
8SC Vila Real261051130:3235
9AD Limianos26810837:3634
10GD Joane26771226:3828
11Pevidem26771223:3428
12Os Sandinenses26771230:4128
13Dumiense26661425:5223
14Atletico Arcos26651524:3823