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GD Os Nazarenos vs O Elvas CAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event

AI Match Summary

O Elvas CAD in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored O Elvas CAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
GD Os Nazarenos
15%
Draws
85%
O Elvas CAD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • O Elvas CAD have won more games recently than GD Os Nazarenos.
  • Model gives O Elvas CAD a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
GD Os Nazarenos Clean Sheet 12%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Os Nazarenos O Elvas CAD
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.33 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.56 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Os Nazarenos vs O Elvas CAD
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Os Nazarenos 10 / 100
O Elvas CAD 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Os Nazarenos O Elvas CAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Os Nazarenos scored in 33% of their last 9 games.

O Elvas CAD has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

O Elvas CAD's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

GD Os Nazarenos VS O Elvas CAD
0.17 Goals Scored 1.25
2.17 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GD Os Nazarenos

(Home)
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
16 Aug
Mortagua FC
3 : 1
GD Os Nazarenos
Page 1 of 2

O Elvas CAD

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 O Elvas CAD 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
5 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Alverca B 4 1 0 3 6:4 3
12 Sertanense 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
13 Fazendense 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)