Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Ferreira do Zezere

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

GD Peniche play Ferreira do Zezere in the Taça de Portugal. It looks like a close match. Recently, GD Peniche averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Ferreira do Zezere averaged 1 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. In past meetings, GD Peniche won 1, Ferreira do Zezere won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 31, 2025 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for GD Peniche and 1.31 for Ferreira do Zezere. This points to a GD Peniche double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

GD Peniche

21%

Draws

31%

Ferreira do Zezere

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: GD Peniche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

GD Peniche picked up more points recently compared to Ferreira do Zezere.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

GD Peniche Clean Sheet 18%

Ferreira do Zezere Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	GD Peniche	Ferreira do Zezere
Matches Played	30	3
Wins	9	1
Draws	7	0
Losses	14	2
Goals Scored	1.57	1
Goals Conceded	1.7	3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Taça de Portugal

GD Peniche vs Ferreira do Zezere

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

8:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Peniche 47 / 100

Ferreira do Zezere 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

GD Peniche Ferreira do Zezere

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GD Peniche or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GD Peniche attacking → ← attacking Ferreira do Zezere

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Peniche scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Ferreira do Zezere let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

GD Peniche went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ferreira do Zezere lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 3

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00