Sport Picks
GD Peniche vs GD Fontinhas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 
Match Events
4'
4'
Costa P.
18'
18'
Mendes H.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 game between GD Peniche and GD Fontinhas finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Fontinhas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- GD Peniche carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on GD Fontinhas taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 18%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GD Peniche | GD Fontinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.51 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs GD Fontinhas
1:1
Oct 28, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs GD Peniche
0:1
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Fontinhas vs GD Peniche
3:1
Oct 31, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Peniche vs GD Fontinhas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GD Peniche Compare
Top Goalscorer Costa P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
GD Fontinhas Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendes H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GD Peniche 23 / 100
GD Fontinhas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GD Peniche GD Fontinhas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
GD Peniche found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).
GD Fontinhas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: GD Peniche stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
GD Peniche VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
GD Peniche
(Home) 18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1 SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1 GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2 GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2 GD Peniche
Page 1 of 8
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1 SC Lusitania
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
15 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 1 Vitoria Sernache
28 Feb
GD Peniche
2 : 0 Naval 1893
14 Feb
GD Peniche
1 : 1 Fatima
Page 1 of 4
GD Fontinhas
(Away) 07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0 GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1 GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0 Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1 GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0 Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0 GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1 GD Fontinhas
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1 GD Fontinhas
03 Mar
Santarem
2 : 1 GD Fontinhas
18 Feb
GD Peniche
1 : 1 GD Fontinhas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santarem | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 52:23 | 55 |
| 2 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 51 |
| 3 | Marinhense | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 43:26 | 50 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 5 | Uniao de Coimbra | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 6 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:29 | 37 |
| 7 | GD Peniche | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 28:39 | 37 |
| 8 | Sertanense | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 26:25 | 37 |
| 9 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30:36 | 37 |
| 10 | GD Fontinhas | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | 32 |
| 11 | CD Rabo Peixe | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:34 | 28 |
| 12 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 17:30 | 25 |
| 13 | CD Gouveia | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 35:48 | 21 |
| 14 | Tomar | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 20:53 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)
