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GD Varandinha vs FC Derby

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2016
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
GD Varandinha
6%
Draws
90%
FC Derby
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Derby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Derby have won more games recently than GD Varandinha.
  • Model gives FC Derby a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
GD Varandinha Clean Sheet 14%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GD Varandinha FC Derby
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
GD Varandinha vs FC Derby
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GD Varandinha 10 / 100
FC Derby 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GD Varandinha FC Derby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GD Varandinha scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

FC Derby has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

GD Varandinha went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GD Varandinha VS FC Derby
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Derby54108:213
2GD Varandinha53119:410
3Desportivo Praia52127:67
4Sporting da Brava52036:76
5SC Atletico51135:104
6Sinagoga50234:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense532011:311
2Academica Porto Novo53206:111
3Academico do Sal52124:47
4Academico 8351225:85
5Sport Sal-Rei51138:114
6Vulcanico51042:93