Sport Picks
GD Varandinha vs Morabeza Prediction & H2H Stats
Cape Verde
Campeonato Nacional 2024 
Match Events
11'
11'
Monteiro F.
22'
22'
Batista A.
27'
27'
Semedo Y.
AI Match Summary
Morabeza in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morabeza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morabeza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- GD Varandinha haven't matched Morabeza's recent run of results.
- Morabeza are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
GD Varandinha Clean Sheet 17%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GD Varandinha | Morabeza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 15, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
GD Varandinha vs Morabeza
1:2
May 5, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs GD Varandinha
1:1
Jun 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs GD Varandinha
0:0
Apr 29, 2023 Campeonato Nacional
GD Varandinha vs Morabeza
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GD Varandinha Compare
Top Goalscorer Semedo Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Morabeza Compare
Top Goalscorer Monteiro F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Batista A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GD Varandinha 15 / 100
Morabeza 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GD Varandinha Morabeza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Morabeza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: GD Varandinha scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Morabeza let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
GD Varandinha has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
GD Varandinha VS Morabeza
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
GD Varandinha
(Home) 15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
09 Jun
Palmeira
4 : 0 GD Varandinha
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3 Barreirense
18 May
Barreirense
3 : 1 GD Varandinha
11 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 2 Palmeira
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15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3 Barreirense
11 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 2 Palmeira
11 Jun
GD Varandinha
2 : 4 Figueirense
21 May
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 3
Morabeza
(Away) 15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1 Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2 Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0 Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1 Morabeza
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15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2 Morabeza
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0 Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1 Morabeza
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2 Morabeza
21 May
Figueirense
0 : 0 Morabeza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico do Sal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Rosariense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Juventude | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Morabeza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Barreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Derby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
