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GE Bage vs Apafut - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Edmilson Junior
Own Goal
37' Event
Para
51' Event
Marcos Paulo

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between GE Bage and Apafut finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apafut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
GE Bage
35%
Draws
45%
Apafut
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Apafut carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Apafut's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 20%
Apafut Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Apafut
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 13 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Apafut
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Para
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos Paulo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 28 / 100
Apafut 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Apafut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Apafut let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

GE Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GE Bage scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Apafut
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
GE Bage
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 6

Apafut

(Away)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)