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GE Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Julio Rusch
82' Event
Joao Castro
85' Event
Silas

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between GE Bage and Brasil de Pelotas finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GE Bage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
GE Bage
30%
Draws
47%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brasil de Pelotas come out ahead of GE Bage on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Brasil de Pelotas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 21%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 6 13
Draws 14 18
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.74 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
4:1
Jun 4, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
1:1
May 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Bage
1:0
Apr 6, 2011 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:1
Mar 14, 2011 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Bage
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Julio Rusch
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Castro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Silas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 24 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

GE Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GE Bage's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Brasil de Pelotas has conceded goals in 50% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Brasil de Pelotas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha
2 : 0
GE Bage
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Gramadense
16 Sept
Veranopolis
0 : 0
GE Bage
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 7

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)