Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GE Bage vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Wilsinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
GE Bage
35%
Draws
22%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GE Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • GE Bage haven't matched Gramadense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives GE Bage a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Gramadense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Gramadense
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 5 7
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.64 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Gramadense
0:1
May 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Gramadense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilsinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 68 / 100
Gramadense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Bage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: GE Bage remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

GE Bage scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Gramadense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GE Bage

(Home)
10 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 0
GE Bage
06 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
SC Gaucho
01 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
26 Aug
GE Bage
1 : 0
EC Guarani
22 Aug
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
GE Bage
Page 1 of 6

Gramadense

(Away)
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0
Gramadense
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Gramadense
23 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 0
Apafut
20 Aug
Gramadense
1 : 1
Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Santa Cruz RS 1
Gramadense 2
GE Bage 1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Gramadense 3