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GE Bage vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Wilsinho

AI Match Summary

Gramadense in this Copa FGF matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gramadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
GE Bage
33%
Draws
40%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gramadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • GE Bage haven't matched Gramadense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gramadense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 21%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GE Bage Gramadense
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Gramadense
0:1
May 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Gramadense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GE Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilsinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GE Bage 29 / 100
Gramadense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GE Bage Gramadense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: GE Bage remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

GE Bage scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Gramadense conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

GE Bage VS Gramadense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas2
Santa Cruz RS1
Gramadense2
GE Bage1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas0
Gramadense1