Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gebenbach vs Karlburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Lambrecht M.
52' Event
Haller D.
55' Event
Haller D.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 game between Gebenbach and Karlburg finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Gebenbach
30%
Draws
8%
Karlburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gebenbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Gebenbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Gebenbach taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gebenbach Clean Sheet 20%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gebenbach Karlburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Karlburg
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Gebenbach
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Gebenbach
0:3
Aug 18, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Gebenbach vs Karlburg
3:0
May 2, 2020 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Gebenbach
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gebenbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Haller D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Karlburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambrecht M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fries S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gebenbach 85 / 100
Karlburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gebenbach Karlburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gebenbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gebenbach scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Karlburg conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Gebenbach has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gebenbach VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gebenbach

(Home)
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
11 Sept
Gebenbach
0 : 4
Bayern Hof
04 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Gebenbach
28 Aug
Gebenbach
3 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
Page 1 of 6

Karlburg

(Away)
17 May
Karlburg
0 : 4
Weiden
09 May
TSV Kornburg
6 : 1
Karlburg
02 May
Abtswind
4 : 1
Karlburg
25 Apr
Karlburg
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Apr
Cham
2 : 0
Karlburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)