Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gedania Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Turski H.
36' Event
Turski H.
50' Event
Turski H.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin II in this III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gedania Gdansk
6%
Draws
90%
Pogon Szczecin II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin II have won more games recently than Gedania Gdansk.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Szczecin II taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pogon Szczecin II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 15%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gedania Gdansk Pogon Szczecin II
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin II
0:5
Oct 31, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Gedania Gdansk
4:2
May 1, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin II
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Gedania Gdansk
5:2
May 21, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Gedania Gdansk
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gedania Gdansk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Turski H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Berkowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gedania Gdansk 10 / 100
Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gedania Gdansk Pogon Szczecin II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin II has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Gedania Gdansk scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Gedania Gdansk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gedania Gdansk VS Pogon Szczecin II
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gedania Gdansk

(Home)
18 Jul
Gedania Gdansk
3 : 1
Jaguar Gdansk
11 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
4 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
31 Jan
Olimpia Elblag
2 : 0
Gedania Gdansk
07 Jun
Gedania Gdansk
1 : 5
Lech Poznan II
01 Jun
Swinoujscie
3 : 4
Gedania Gdansk
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Pogon Szczecin II

(Away)
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1
Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0
Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kleczew34226660:3572
2Blekitni Stargard34196978:4563
3Zawisza34178965:4159
4Pogon Szczecin II341513672:4558
5Lech Poznan II34169965:4757
6Unia Swarzedz341510958:4755
7Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341491167:5851
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341461447:4748
9Elana Torun341114944:4247
10Wda Swiecie3412101247:4146
11Notec Czarnkow341361561:6445
12Swinoujscie341281448:5644
13Cartusia Kartuzy341271543:5143
14Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal341071732:5437
15Kotwica Kornik348121449:6036
16Gedania Gdansk341042043:8034
17Gryf Slupsk346121638:5530
18Vineta Wolin34452548:9717
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)