Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2014

Bayterek Astana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gefest Karagandy play Bayterek Astana in the First Division 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gefest Karagandy averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2 conceded. Bayterek Astana averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Gefest Karagandy won 2, Bayterek Astana won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 8, 2014 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Gefest Karagandy and 0.80 for Bayterek Astana. This points to a Gefest Karagandy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Gefest Karagandy

15%

Draws

34%

Bayterek Astana

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefest Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Gefest Karagandy picked up more points recently compared to Bayterek Astana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 26%

Bayterek Astana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gefest Karagandy	Bayterek Astana
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	7	7
Draws	3	1
Losses	20	27
Goals Scored	0.73	0.74
Goals Conceded	2	2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2014 First League

Gefest Karagandy vs Bayterek Astana

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Apr 6, 2014 First League

Bayterek Astana vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Sep 11, 2013 First League

Gefest Karagandy vs Bayterek Astana

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

May 19, 2013 First League

Bayterek Astana vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefest Karagandy 51 / 100

Bayterek Astana 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gefest Karagandy Bayterek Astana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gefest Karagandy or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gefest Karagandy attacking → ← attacking Bayterek Astana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefest Karagandy scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Bayterek Astana let in goals in 91% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Gefest Karagandy went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bayterek Astana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 22

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Okzhetpes	28	21	1	6	59:33	64
2	FK Kyran	28	19	3	6	60:30	60
3	Zhenis	28	17	4	7	54:29	55
4	Akzhayik Uralsk	28	16	7	5	46:24	55
5	Kaspij Aktau	28	17	4	7	44:26	55
6	Vostok Oskemen	28	14	5	9	48:31	47
7	FC Ekibastuz	28	11	8	9	40:35	41
8	Sunkar	28	11	7	10	42:39	40
9	Kyzylzhar	28	12	1	15	41:45	37
10	Bayterek Astana	28	10	2	16	34:52	32
11	Taraz-Karatau 2	28	7	6	15	23:42	27
12	CSKA Almaty	28	6	6	16	32:54	24
13	Shakhtar Bulat	28	7	2	19	26:40	23
14	Gefest Karagandy	28	6	3	19	16:56	21
15	Maqtaaral	28	4	5	19	33:62	17