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Gefest Karagandy vs Spartak Semey

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Semey in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Semey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gefest Karagandy
6%
Draws
90%
Spartak Semey
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gefest Karagandy haven't matched Spartak Semey's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Semey's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 19%
Spartak Semey Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefest Karagandy Spartak Semey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Spartak Semey
1:2
Jun 23, 2013 First League
Spartak Semey vs Gefest Karagandy
2:2
Oct 3, 2011 First League
Spartak Semey vs Gefest Karagandy
3:0
May 14, 2011 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Spartak Semey
0:0
Sep 16, 2010 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Spartak Semey
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
Spartak Semey 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefest Karagandy Spartak Semey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Spartak Semey has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gefest Karagandy scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Spartak Semey conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Semey
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefest Karagandy

(Home)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
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Spartak Semey

(Away)
01 Nov
Spartak Semey
3 : 0
Bayterek Astana
24 Oct
Maqtaaral
1 : 1
Spartak Semey
17 Oct
Spartak Semey
1 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
11 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 1
Spartak Semey
03 Oct
Spartak Semey
0 : 2
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaisar Kyzylorda34238377:2074
2Spartak Semey34217654:2470
3Okzhetpes34207751:2767
4Kyzylzhar34205952:3565
5Kaspij Aktau34198755:3165
6Ile-Saulet34198766:3265
7Zhenis341513651:3758
8FK Kyran341671153:3955
9Sunkar34169948:3348
10Ak Bulak341461449:3948
11Gefest Karagandy341281437:4644
12FC Ekibastuz349131234:3640
13Shakhtar Bulat34791828:4230
14Taraz-Karatau 234592028:5724
15Bayterek Astana34852132:6723
16Maqtaaral34572229:6222
17CSKA Almaty34542529:7919
18Shymkent34272527:9413
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)