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Gefle vs Pitea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Gavlevallen, Gävle
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gefle host Pitea in the Division 1 - Norra. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Pitea have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Gefle have conceded 1.68 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Gefle slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.19, favoring Gefle. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gefle
15%
Draws
46%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pitea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gefle come out ahead of Pitea on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gefle's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gefle Clean Sheet 20%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gefle Pitea
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Gefle
0:2
Sep 18, 2022 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Gefle
1:4
May 26, 2022 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Pitea
2:2
Nov 7, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs Pitea
1:0
Aug 5, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Gefle
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gefle 36 / 100
Pitea 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gefle Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Gefle scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Gefle stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gefle VS Pitea
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gefle

(Home)
03 Oct
Enkopings SK
1 : 0
Gefle
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)