Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024

Fountain Gate

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Geita Gold play Fountain Gate in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Geita Gold averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Fountain Gate averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Geita Gold won 1, Fountain Gate won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Geita Gold and 0.81 for Fountain Gate. This points to a Fountain Gate double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Geita Gold

24%

Draws

45%

Fountain Gate

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Fountain Gate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Geita Gold picked up more points recently compared to Fountain Gate.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Geita Gold Clean Sheet 26%

Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Geita Gold	Fountain Gate
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	5	11
Draws	9	6
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	0.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Dec 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Dec 30, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Sep 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Geita Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashaka V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Fountain Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 33 / 100

Fountain Gate 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Geita Gold Fountain Gate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fountain Gate or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Geita Gold attacking → ← attacking Fountain Gate

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geita Gold scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Fountain Gate let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Geita Gold went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fountain Gate lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 39

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	26	2	2	71:14	80
2	Azam	30	21	6	3	63:21	69
3	Simba	30	21	6	3	59:25	69
4	Coastal Union	30	11	10	9	22:19	43
5	Kinondoni MC	30	8	13	9	27:39	37
6	Namungo	30	8	12	10	27:29	36
7	Singida Black Stars	30	9	9	12	29:36	36
8	Mashujaa	30	9	8	13	30:33	35
9	Tanzania Prisons	30	7	13	10	29:35	34
10	Kagera Sugar	30	7	13	10	23:32	34
11	Fountain Gate	30	8	9	13	29:39	33
12	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	9	13	19:32	33
13	JKT Tanzania	30	6	14	10	21:30	32
14	TRA United	30	5	12	13	20:41	27
15	Geita Gold	30	5	10	15	18:38	25
16	Mtibwa Sugar	30	5	6	19	30:54	21