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Geita Gold vs Mashujaa

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geita Gold play Mashujaa in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Geita Gold averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. Mashujaa averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Geita Gold won 0, Mashujaa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Geita Gold and 0.88 for Mashujaa. This points to a Mashujaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Geita Gold
28%
Draws
50%
Mashujaa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Mashujaa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Geita Gold.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Mashujaa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 25%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geita Gold Mashujaa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Federation Cup
Geita Gold vs Mashujaa
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Mashujaa
1:3
Aug 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Geita Gold
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Geita Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Seif Kiakala T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mashujaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Adam A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mashaka Ramadhani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 25 / 100
Mashujaa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geita Gold Mashujaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geita Gold scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Mashujaa let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Geita Gold went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mashujaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Geita Gold VS Mashujaa
0 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30262271:1480
2Azam30216363:2169
3Simba30216359:2569
4Coastal Union301110922:1943
5Kinondoni MC30813927:3937
6Namungo308121027:2936
7Singida Black Stars30991229:3636
8Mashujaa30981330:3335
9Tanzania Prisons307131029:3534
10Kagera Sugar307131023:3234
11Fountain Gate30891329:3933
12Dodoma Jiji30891319:3233
13JKT Tanzania306141021:3032
14TRA United305121320:4127
15Geita Gold305101518:3825
16Mtibwa Sugar30561930:5421