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Geita Gold vs Mashujaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Geita Gold Mine Stadium, Geita
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Geita Gold host Mashujaa in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Geita Gold at 0.75 goals for, 1.5 against; Mashujaa at 0.83 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Mashujaa slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.50) back Mashujaa to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Geita Gold
15%
Draws
73%
Mashujaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Mashujaa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mashujaa here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 16%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Geita Gold Mashujaa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Federation Cup
Geita Gold vs Mashujaa
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Mashujaa
1:3
Aug 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Geita Gold
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 31 / 100
Mashujaa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Geita Gold Mashujaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashujaa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Difficult form: Mashujaa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Geita Gold scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Geita Gold VS Mashujaa
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Geita Gold

(Home)
25 Oct
Geita Gold
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
16 Oct
Geita Gold
0 : 3
Dodoma Jiji
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
Page 1 of 6

Mashujaa

(Away)
27 Oct
Young Africans
2 : 1
Mashujaa
13 Oct
Simba
6 : 1
Mashujaa
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 9 7 1 1 19:5 22
3 Azam 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
4 JKT Tanzania 10 5 2 3 12:12 17
5 Dodoma Jiji 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Coastal Union 10 4 1 5 9:13 13
7 Polisi Tanzania 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
8 Namungo 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
9 Mashujaa 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
10 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
11 Mbeya City 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
13 TRA United 8 1 4 3 6:7 7
14 Pamba 9 1 3 5 10:15 6
15 Fountain Gate 9 1 3 5 5:13 6
16 Kagera Sugar 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)