Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024

Geita Gold

2 - 2

Mtibwa Sugar

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Mwanuke J.

20'

Mhilu Y.

36'

Mashaka V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Geita Gold

39%

Draws

31%

Mtibwa Sugar

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Mtibwa Sugar have won more games recently than Geita Gold.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Geita Gold Clean Sheet 68%

Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Geita Gold	Mtibwa Sugar
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	5	8
Draws	9	10
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	1	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

2:2

Oct 26, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Geita Gold

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Jun 9, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Geita Gold

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Dec 4, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Mar 13, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Geita Gold

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Geita Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Mhilu Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mashaka V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Mtibwa Sugar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwanuke J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marungu O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Geita Gold 41 / 100

Mtibwa Sugar 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Geita Gold Mtibwa Sugar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Mtibwa Sugar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mtibwa Sugar has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Geita Gold's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Geita Gold VS Mtibwa Sugar

0 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	26	2	2	71:14	80
2	Azam	30	21	6	3	63:21	69
3	Simba	30	21	6	3	59:25	69
4	Coastal Union	30	11	10	9	22:19	43
5	Kinondoni MC	30	8	13	9	27:39	37
6	Namungo	30	8	12	10	27:29	36
7	Singida Black Stars	30	9	9	12	29:36	36
8	Mashujaa	30	9	8	13	30:33	35
9	Tanzania Prisons	30	7	13	10	29:35	34
10	Kagera Sugar	30	7	13	10	23:32	34
11	Fountain Gate	30	8	9	13	29:39	33
12	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	9	13	19:32	33
13	JKT Tanzania	30	6	14	10	21:30	32
14	TRA United	30	5	12	13	20:41	27
15	Geita Gold	30	5	10	15	18:38	25
16	Mtibwa Sugar	30	5	6	19	30:54	21