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GEL vs Rio Branco ES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
GEL Logo

GEL

3 - 3
FT
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2009 game between GEL and Rio Branco ES finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
GEL
20%
Draws
40%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rio Branco ES come out ahead of GEL on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
GEL Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GEL Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2009 Capixaba
GEL vs Rio Branco ES
3:3
Jan 31, 2009 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs GEL
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GEL 32 / 100
Rio Branco ES 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GEL Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Rio Branco ES has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

GEL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GEL's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

GEL VS Rio Branco ES
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GEL

(Home)
29 Aug
GEL
0 : 1
Audax Sao Mateus
26 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 1
GEL
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)