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GEL vs SAO Mateus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
GEL Logo

GEL

0 - 2
FT
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SAO Mateus in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SAO Mateus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
GEL
15%
Draws
20%
SAO Mateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SAO Mateus lately — more wins on the board than GEL.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on GEL taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
GEL Clean Sheet 10%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GEL SAO Mateus
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 0.88 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2009 Capixaba
GEL vs SAO Mateus
0:2
Feb 14, 2009 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs GEL
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GEL 83 / 100
SAO Mateus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GEL SAO Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SAO Mateus let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

GEL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SAO Mateus lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GEL VS SAO Mateus
0.63 Goals Scored 1
4.13 Goals Conceded 3.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

GEL

(Home)
29 Aug
GEL
0 : 1
Audax Sao Mateus
26 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 1
GEL
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
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SAO Mateus

(Away)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)