Sport Picks
Gelbison vs AS Acireale Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Cascio F.
79'
79'
Boulahia Z.
89'
89'
Castro M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Gelbison and AS Acireale finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gelbison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gelbison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gelbison come out ahead of AS Acireale on wins alone.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Gelbison taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 68%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gelbison | AS Acireale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs AS Acireale
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Gelbison
0:1
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Gelbison
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs AS Acireale
0:1
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Gelbison
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gelbison Compare
Top Goalscorer Cascio F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
AS Acireale Compare
Top Goalscorer Boulahia Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gelbison 50 / 100
AS Acireale 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gelbison AS Acireale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gelbison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gelbison scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
AS Acireale has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Gelbison went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
AS Acireale's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gelbison VS AS Acireale
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gelbison
(Home) 27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3 Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1 Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1 Gelbison
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1 Budoni Calcio
06 Sept
Gelbison
0 : 0 Afragolese
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0 Gela
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
02 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 3
AS Acireale
(Away) 10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0 USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0 Nissa
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1 AS Acireale
02 Apr
Castrumfavara
1 : 1 AS Acireale
21 Mar
Reggina
0 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
