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Gelbison vs Atl. Lodigiani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gelbison host Atl. Lodigiani in the Serie D - Group G. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Atl. Lodigiani have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Gelbison have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Gelbison have won 1 to Atl. Lodigiani's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.38, favoring Gelbison. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gelbison
15%
Draws
0%
Atl. Lodigiani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gelbison have won more games recently than Atl. Lodigiani.
  • Win probability leans Gelbison's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 17%
Atl. Lodigiani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gelbison Atl. Lodigiani
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Atl. Lodigiani vs Gelbison
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs Atl. Lodigiani
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gelbison 84 / 100
Atl. Lodigiani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gelbison Atl. Lodigiani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gelbison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Lodigiani let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Atl. Lodigiani has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gelbison scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Gelbison VS Atl. Lodigiani
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gelbison

(Home)
18 Oct
Gelbison
2 : 1
Ossese
11 Oct
Citta di Anagni
3 : 1
Gelbison
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1
US Venafro
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
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Atl. Lodigiani

(Away)
17 Oct
Afragolese
4 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
11 Oct
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 1
Sarnese
04 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)