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Gelbison vs Ossese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Balla B.
38' Event
Simeri S.
68' Event
Tapparello B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Gelbison and Ossese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gelbison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Gelbison
20%
Draws
29%
Ossese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ossese haven't matched Gelbison's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gelbison taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 15%
Ossese Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gelbison Ossese
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 17 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.45 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Gelbison vs Ossese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Balla B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simeri S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ossese Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapparello B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gelbison 41 / 100
Ossese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gelbison Ossese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gelbison scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Ossese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Gelbison remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gelbison VS Ossese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gelbison

(Home)
18 Oct
Gelbison
2 : 1
Ossese
11 Oct
Citta di Anagni
3 : 1
Gelbison
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1
US Venafro
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 7

Ossese

(Away)
18 Oct
Gelbison
2 : 1
Ossese
11 Oct
Ossese
1 : 1
US Venafro
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Unipomezia
2 : 0
Ossese
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 8 6 2 0 13:6 20
2 Monastir 8 5 1 2 21:13 16
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
4 Trastevere Calcio 8 4 2 2 11:14 14
5 Paganese 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Unipomezia 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
7 Ossese 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
8 Albalonga 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
9 Aranova 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
10 Anzio Calcio 1924 8 3 3 2 8:6 12
11 Afragolese 8 2 4 2 9:7 10
12 Citta di Anagni 8 3 1 4 10:12 10
13 Gelbison 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
14 US Venafro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
15 Budoni Calcio 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
17 Latte Dolce 8 1 3 4 9:14 6
18 Atl. Lodigiani 8 0 1 7 8:22 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)