Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemert vs Helmond Sport

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Craenen E.
Penalty Missed
58' Event
Bajrami L.
64' Event
van Diepen D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Gemert and Helmond Sport finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Gemert
20%
Draws
28%
Helmond Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gemert come out ahead of Helmond Sport on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Gemert taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gemert Clean Sheet 16%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert Helmond Sport
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.17 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
1:1
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
0:2
Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
2:2
Aug 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Helmond Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajrami L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 66 / 100
Helmond Sport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert Helmond Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gemert Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Helmond Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Gemert stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS Helmond Sport
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemert

(Home)
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
Page 1 of 6

Helmond Sport

(Away)
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0
Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6