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Gemert vs Helmond Sport

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gemert play Helmond Sport in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gemert averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Helmond Sport averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Gemert won 0, Helmond Sport won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jul 29, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Gemert and 1.06 for Helmond Sport. This points to a Gemert double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gemert
6%
Draws
4%
Helmond Sport
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gemert has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Helmond Sport.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Gemert.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Gemert Clean Sheet 20%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemert Helmond Sport
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
0:2
Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
2:2
Aug 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
1:1
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Gemert vs Helmond Sport
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemert Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Helmond Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajrami L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemert 85 / 100
Helmond Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemert Helmond Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemert scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Helmond Sport let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gemert went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Helmond Sport lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gemert VS Helmond Sport
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%