Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gemlikspor vs Kucukcekmece

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Yildirim A.
Assist: Uludag A.
85' Event
Cavus D.
Assist: Yildirim A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Gemlikspor and Kucukcekmece finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kucukcekmece.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gemlikspor
33%
Draws
27%
Kucukcekmece
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gemlikspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kucukcekmece come out ahead of Gemlikspor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gemlikspor a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
Kucukcekmece Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gemlikspor Kucukcekmece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Kucukcekmece vs Gemlikspor
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Kucukcekmece
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gemlikspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kucukcekmece Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cavus D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gemlikspor 50 / 100
Kucukcekmece 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gemlikspor Kucukcekmece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gemlikspor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kucukcekmece conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gemlikspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gemlikspor VS Kucukcekmece
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gemlikspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1
Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2
Gemlikspor
05 Apr
Gemlikspor
2 : 1
Bulvarspor
28 Mar
Kucukcekmece
3 : 0
Gemlikspor
24 Mar
Gemlikspor
3 : 2
Yesil Yalova FK
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Kucukcekmece

(Away)
08 May
Corluspor
3 : 1
Kucukcekmece
04 May
Kucukcekmece
1 : 1
Corluspor
27 Apr
Kucukcekmece
2 : 0
Etimesgut
23 Apr
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Kucukcekmece
18 Apr
Corluspor
1 : 0
Kucukcekmece
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Beykoz Ishakli Spor 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)