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Gendarmerie vs AS Arta

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Arta in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Arta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Gendarmerie
30%
Draws
43%
AS Arta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Arta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Arta lately — more wins on the board than Gendarmerie.
  • Win probability leans Gendarmerie's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 16%
AS Arta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendarmerie AS Arta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs AS Arta
2:3
Dec 29, 2024 Division 1
AS Arta vs Gendarmerie
0:0
May 3, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs AS Arta
0:2
Dec 26, 2023 Division 1
AS Arta vs Gendarmerie
6:2
Apr 3, 2023 Division 1
AS Arta vs Gendarmerie
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendarmerie 36 / 100
AS Arta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendarmerie AS Arta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendarmerie scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: AS Arta conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Gendarmerie stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gendarmerie VS AS Arta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendarmerie

(Home)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
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AS Arta

(Away)
24 May
AS Arta
1 : 0
Garde-Cotes
02 May
AS Arta
4 : 0
Hopital
24 Apr
Port
1 : 2
AS Arta
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
11 Apr
Dikhil
0 : 0
AS Arta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)