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Gendarmerie vs ASC Hayab

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gendarmerie play ASC Hayab in the Division 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gendarmerie averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. ASC Hayab averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Gendarmerie won 3, ASC Hayab won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 1, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.50 for Gendarmerie and 1.94 for ASC Hayab. This points to a Gendarmerie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gendarmerie
27%
Draws
28%
ASC Hayab
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Gendarmerie picked up more points recently compared to ASC Hayab.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.50 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 10%
ASC Hayab Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendarmerie ASC Hayab
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.56 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Division 1
ASC Hayab vs Gendarmerie
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASC Hayab
5:1
Mar 11, 2023 Division 1
ASC Hayab vs Gendarmerie
0:0
Oct 28, 2022 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASC Hayab
1:2
Feb 25, 2022 Division 1
ASC Hayab vs Gendarmerie
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendarmerie 43 / 100
ASC Hayab 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendarmerie ASC Hayab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gendarmerie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gendarmerie attacking → ← attacking ASC Hayab

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendarmerie scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

ASC Hayab let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gendarmerie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ASC Hayab lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AS Arta18134155:1343
2ASAS18115244:1638
3Port1893634:1830
4Dikhil1875632:2226
5Hopital1875619:2526
6Gendarmerie1874733:2525
7Garde-Cotes1865720:1923
8CF GR/SIAF1863923:2521
9ASC Hayab1845926:4317
10CDC Q71801176:861