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Gendarmerie vs Garde Republicaine

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
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AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Gendarmerie and Garde Republicaine finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gendarmerie
6%
Draws
4%
Garde Republicaine
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gendarmerie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gendarmerie a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 20%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendarmerie Garde Republicaine
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2025 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs Gendarmerie
0:2
Jan 2, 2025 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Garde Republicaine
1:1
Apr 16, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs Garde Republicaine
1:3
Dec 1, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs Gendarmerie
0:1
May 19, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs Gendarmerie
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendarmerie 85 / 100
Garde Republicaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendarmerie Garde Republicaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendarmerie's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Garde Republicaine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Gendarmerie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gendarmerie VS Garde Republicaine
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendarmerie

(Home)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
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Garde Republicaine

(Away)
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASAS18124244:1740
2Garde-Cotes18105327:1232
3AS Arta1894527:1731
4Dikhil1885527:1929
5Port1883716:1527
6Gendarmerie1868421:1926
7Garde Republicaine1865715:1823
8FC Arta1827921:3113
9Hopital18241216:4210
10Nurie Transit18151217:418
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)