Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gendrim vs Nouadhibou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Mahmoud A.
90' Event
Dembele K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Gendrim and Nouadhibou finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gendrim
35%
Draws
32%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Nouadhibou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nouadhibou have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 11%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gendrim Nouadhibou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 0.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Gendrim
3:1
Dec 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nouadhibou
0:2
Feb 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nouadhibou
0:3
Oct 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Gendrim
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nouadhibou
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gendrim Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahmoud A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gendrim 30 / 100
Nouadhibou 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gendrim Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouadhibou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gendrim's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gendrim stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nouadhibou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gendrim VS Nouadhibou
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gendrim

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

Nouadhibou

(Away)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)