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Genemuiden vs ADO 20 Heemskerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genemuiden host ADO 20 Heemskerk in the Derde Divisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. ADO 20 Heemskerk have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Genemuiden have conceded 1.45 and scored 2.07. Head-to-head, Genemuiden have won 2 to ADO 20 Heemskerk's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.13 - 1.63) back Genemuiden to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Genemuiden
15%
Draws
34%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Genemuiden come out ahead of ADO 20 Heemskerk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Genemuiden's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Genemuiden here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 14%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Genemuiden ADO 20 Heemskerk
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
4:1
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Genemuiden
1:0
Sep 24, 2024 KNVB Beker
Genemuiden vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Genemuiden 41 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Genemuiden ADO 20 Heemskerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Genemuiden scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

ADO 20 Heemskerk let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Genemuiden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Genemuiden VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Genemuiden

(Home)
17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0
Genemuiden
10 Oct
Genemuiden
3 : 1
VV DOVO
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
26 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 0
Purmersteijn
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Away)
17 Oct
Sportlust
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)